The team ended 4-3 against mid majors. That isn't bad but this team has talent. Plus two of the losses were close to Indiana State and Evansville. Great teams find a way to win and sitting at 6-1 in these games instead of 4-3 would have gone a long way towards building interest.
With a 4-3 record against mid majors, that is a 57% winning percentage. That would put GB in the 10-8 or 11-7 range in conference play.
With that said here are my current predictions for GB against the league: UWM 2-0 UIC 1-1 IUPUI 1-1 UDM 1-1 Oakland 2-0 CSU 1-1 YSU 2-0 WSU 1-1 NKU 1-1
So I have them at 12-6 and needing a run in March to make this season meaningful.
I think GB should be able to sweep UDM and CSU but those kinds of games seem to cause problems for RP40 the last few years which is why I have them splitting.
If you put that Indiana State game in the Resch Center on a weekend with a normal start time then I gauantee you that’s a W for the Phoenix. Not sure who’s idea it was to put one of our best non conference games at the Kress Center with a 3:30 tip. SMH let’s hope that never happens again. Bad for team, fans, students, media, EVERYONE!
Post by phoenixphan87 on Dec 27, 2018 8:45:41 GMT -6
This league has some clear favorites to be in the top half in Northern Kentucky, Wright State, IUPUI, UIC and GB. Oakland does not play any defense this year at all and will be closer to the cutoff line for conference tournament than being preseason 4th. Nobody in this league is in the top 125 for the net. My prediction is that first place will have at least 4 losses.
Everyone has holes. The most impressive team out of league was IUPUI- they won and played a tougher schedule than Northern Kentucky. I will still take NKU to win the league but if Green Bay can find some consistency, I have them in T3 which will be 11-7. Can these guys win winnable road games, starting with Milwaukee on Saturday night? That might be the question all year
NKU 14-4 WSU 13-5 GB 11-7 UIC 11-7 IUPUI 10-8 OAK 9-9 CSU 7-11 MIL 6-12 DET 6-12 YSU 3-15
Ok my rant above is now over and I can now move on! ha. Looking back on the non conference schedule 4-3 to me is a disappointment. Games vs ISU, Evansville and Bowling Green are all games we need to win to get this program to the level I want it too be. Played Iowa, Creighton and Oregon all pretty tough and were in the game
In the end I applaud the administration for the non-conference schedule it which we played, by far hands down the toughest in the conference. Hopefully this benefits us come conference play.
I hope I am wrong and the guys are up for the game in Milwaukee on Saturday but right now I cant trust this team to go on the road right now and win. I believe the guys get revenge on IUPUI and sweep the series. There should be no reason why Green Bay cant go to Cleveland State and Detroit and win. If we cant win these games because of RP40 then maybe it is time for a change of strategy.
Post by GBPhoenix1 on Dec 27, 2018 10:16:45 GMT -6
In fairness GB is 6-1 against both CSU and UDM including MCM under the RP40 style. In the case of CSU they want to play like GB to a certain extent. They have talent to keep up with GB and GB has struggled at CSU the last two years. For Detroit I don't think this version of Detroit wants to play as fast but Antoine Davis has never seen a shot he didn't like so it just feels like a wildcard game.
The team that RP40 has not done well against is YSU. GB has split every year to go 3-3 with them.